Quantium Research

A Take on NFTs, DAOs, and ”The Metaverse” - Is Web 3.0 the Future? #76

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) shares his thoughts on NFTs, DAOs, and "The Metaverse" (including crypto "play-to-earn" games such as "Axie Infinity"), with real-world examples. Ryan finishes the episode off by talking about where he thinks the newly defined "web 3.0" is headed. 

$HUYA vs $DOYU - Merger Update, Financial Analysis, and International Competition (Twitch) #75

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) presents an investment case for Huya and DouYu ($HUYA, $DOYU). 

 

He looks at company financials for both $HUYA and $DOYU, comparing them to "Twitch" (Owned by $AMZN), their largest international competitor in the streaming space. He also touches upon the recent merger between $HUYA and $DOYU, sharing his thoughts on whether it will really happen (risks/benefits of/to completion), the influence of "Tencent" in this deal, and his final thoughts on the valuations of both companies (separately, versus one "giant" combined firm). 

 

 

 

 

~Ryan Rahimikia 

Introduction to Options (Short Squeezes & Gamma Squeezes) - GameStop, AMC, FuboTV & Koss #74

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) introduces the concepts of "short squeezes" and "gamma squeezes" with respect to companies like GameStop and AMC Theatres. He also explains how options work (buying and selling calls & puts - risks/rewards involved).

 

He also dives into the financials of a select few (AMC Theatres & Gamestop), discussing possible ways to maximise shareholder value in each company (the hope that management can act in the best interest of its dearest shareholders).

 

We discuss what we think could happen next at the end of this episode...

 

 

 

 

~ Ryan Rahimikia

Why I Could Be Buying Shares In $BABA - The Financials, Ant Group's Drama & The Race to a $1tn Valuation #73

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) presents an investment case for Alibaba Group ($BABA). 

 

He also dives deep into the company's financials (P/E ratios, earnings data stats, relative valuations to peers etc...). We bring up the recent fears of a rotation away from "growth" stocks, and into "value" stocks, discussing the degree of truth that appears within.

 

After a messy battle with regulators, Ant's IPO failed to complete (the company was expected to be valued at around $280bn vs the previous expectation of $150bn, as a result of a surge in investor interest for the listing). Ryan outlines both positive and negative potential newsflow & factors which will determine the direction in which $BABA shares will go next.

 

 

 

 

~ Ryan Rahimikia

How Takeaways Work & The Future of the Restaurant Business #72

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks at how takeaways work for businesses (3rd party & own processes). He introduces the idea of a commission structure from brands such as Uber Eats, Just Eat, Grub Hub, Postmates, Doordash, and many others.

 

He also shares thoughts on the restaurant business, divided into three main categories - the state of the industry, ways to survive and thrive as a restaurant (high margins, high volumes, and generally lower prices being the way forward), and Ryan's thoughts on the future of the restaurant business. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

~ Ryan Rahimikia

Hedging Against Risk (In The Real World) - Lebanon, Mauritius & BP #71

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks at the idea of preventing large, one-off exogenous risks. He first briefly introduces portfolio-focused hedging techniques (the traditional buying of "puts" in a long-focused portfolio), to then look at recent headlines regarding Lebanon & Mauritius.

 

He also touches upon the fatal "Deepwater Horizon" disaster and its costs (to date) of $65bn for BP, with an emphasis on how the responsible actions of executives at competing firms have prevented the occurrences of similar disasters in the present day.

 

"Sometimes, the real heroes go unnoticed, simply because they know how to get their jobs done - without fail"

"Are UK Stocks Cheap Vs The RoW" - Worldwide ETF's (incl China, Japan & EEM) #70

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) introduces 4 equity-focused ETF's that look at the UK, China, Japan and Emerging Markets (referred to in the episode as EEM).

Ryan looks at the components within these ETF's and the relevant exposures within.

He concludes with the significance of the technology sector with regards to mentioned outperformance/underperformance of the ETF's in the episode's dataset.

After this, Ryan emphasises the importance of diversification, stressing that if an investor chooses to diversify, it is paramount to diversify their portfolio efficiently, leading onto a new discussion for a later date in the future.

*Data used with reference to the 11th June 2020*

 

 

 

An Example of Risk Management In Action + 2 New Trade Ideas For Shipping Stocks (Hapag LLoyd + Maersk) #69

In this first part of "Predicting Recessions, International Shipping Stocks and The Truth About the Yield Curve", Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at a failed trade on BT.A (BT Group) to emphasise the importance of "Risk Management" for all investors - particularly with this example, he looks at the benefit of this for traders.

Ryan then takes a dive into the fundamentals of "Maersk" (the Danish shipping giant) and "Hapag LLoyd" (a German company, joining Maersk in the "top 10 worldwide shipping liners"). He compares the two, on a fundamental basis, with a brief look at some of the risks posed to the sector, given the current COVID-19 crisis.

The podcast finishes with some two possible trade ideas on the stocks, from both a long, and a short perspective.

 

*Fundamental data used in this episode was timestamped at 15:24 BST on the 8th May 2020*

 

Are Tech Stocks Primed for a Reversal? - Will Stocks Return to Recent Lows? - What's Next? #68

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks at the macro-economic picture as a result of the past few months of extreme market volatility.

 

He begins by highlighting common misconceptions regarding market drawdowns (peak to trough moves) by newbie investors. Then, he goes on to discuss the current state of the financial markets (with indexes approaching technical resistance levels), the heavy contrast between small and mid-caps, in one group, and large caps (blue-chip stocks) in another, and the likely outlook moving forward.

 

Throughout this episode, Ryan includes up to date examples of different stocks across various industries and indexes to provide context to the discussion and encourage our listeners to be proactive in these times, and not simply stick to the same sectors/markets, hoping to achieve positive investment returns. In this case, you'll likely avoid getting caught out from wider market moves.

 

Ryan finishes the episode by including his thoughts regarding some of the most vulnerable companies moving forward from international COVID-19 shutdowns.

 

The companies mentioned in this podcast include: Carillion, Caterpillar, Easyjet, Cineworld, Asos, IBM, Tesla, Tui, Lastminute, EDreams, Centrica, Aston Martin, Debenhams, Ocado, Microfocus

 

At the moment of recording, nor Ryan or anyone from the quantiumresearch.co.uk team holds a position long or short any of the companies mentioned, nor receives anything in return for talking about the stocks in this podcast.

The Exotic Future of Retail & Victoria's Secret (L Brands) #67

 

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) begins this episode by looking at L Brands' recent 55% sale of its shareholding in Victoria's Secret's lingerie, beauty divisions and its "Pink" business to Sycamore Partners (a private equity firm). He looks at the chance of this deal falling through and also dives deeper into the financials of the Victoria's Secret brand. Through evaluating the metrics at the point of the offer being put on the table, to the present financial situation of the company as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, Ryan concludes his thoughts on the current valuation of L Brands (NYSE: LB) and its future.