Quantium Research

How will the COVID-19 Shut-Down Affect Small and Big Businesses (It Could Get Ugly...) #66

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) begins this episode looking at the impact of the nation-wide economic shutdown on small businesses. He focuses on a friend’s family restaurant and why it decided to not use traditional food delivery firms such as Just Eat and Uber Eats, and instead take the bold decision to terminate operations until the shut-down is over, despite being offered 80% of staff costs by government. He then goes macro, looking at airlines, oil and gas and traditional retail companies, outlining some clear mistakes from history (such as excessive buybacks) that have increased the vulnerability of such companies in the present day. He finishes the episode by reiterating the difference between short-term market fluctuations (including temporary recessions/depressions) and long-term market moves. It is important to remember that investors in US stocks would have been roughly 15-20 times up on their initial investment from 1987 (pre-crisis) to the present day (amidst an ongoing crisis).

The Impact of the Coronavirus on Global Stock Markets - Which Shares Risk the Most? #65

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks back over the extremely volatile week and analysis the Chinese travel and tourism sector in extreme detail to determine whether widespread contagion could be seen as a result of declines in the sector. He evaluates using recent data and a keen focus on Chinese international tourism expenditure and the relevance of a multiplier effect on international growth (through the example of Chinese tourists in the United States). Ryan also talks about the most vulnerable companies to a decline in the Chinese economy.

Quantium Cast Episode 64: Carson Block vs NMC Health - The Battle for Disclosure

Ryan Kia of Quantium Research creates a picture of NMC Health and Carson Block as two opposites, detailing the entire story of events that unfolded from the day of Muddy Waters Capital's short position to the rise, on the 10th February 2020, of approximately 30% due to assumed bid interest for NMC Health in episode 64 titled, "Carson Block vs NMC Health - The Battle for Disclosure". He also provides two technical based outcomes as a result of the ahead of results coming up in early March.

 

Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.

Quantium Cast Episode 63: "Cancer helped me start my own business" - Beth Botham, Rejuvenate Kits

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) interviews Beth Botham (Of rejuvenatekits.com), a cancer survivor who was inspired to start up her own business. Some of the topics discussed include overcoming negativity, keeping focus at all times, and how to move forwards from persistent setbacks in the journey of running your own business.

Beth's Youtube (Beth The Entrepreneur) - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFaPAw-bE5VEzXIx6NPM3Nw/featured

Beth's Instagram (@BethBotham) - https://www.instagram.com/bethbotham/?hl=en

 

Rejuvenate Kits' Instagram (@rejuvenatekits) - https://www.instagram.com/rejuvenatekits/?hl=en

 

Quantium Research Website - https://www.quantiumresearch.co.uk/

  

Quantium Cast Episode 62: The Rise of The Coca-Cola Company #4 - Candler's Great Mistake

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company":

Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road.

In last week's episode of the rise of the coca-cola company, we looked at the developments that led up to the explosion in the demand for bottled coke in the domestic American consumer market.    

Part 4 looks at the events that led to Asa Candler (CEO of the Coca-Cola Company, at the time) making a huge mistake, that resulted in his disposal of shares in the company for a sum of $25m.

In next week's episode, we will look at some of the aggressive measures that the new owners of the coca-cola company had put in place to effectively force out the bottlers and regain control of the wonderful drink that is coca-cola.

Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.

Quantium Cast Episode 61: The Rise of The Coca-Cola Company #3 - A Bottler's Dream

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company":

Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road.

Part 3 looks at the developments leading up to an explosion in the demand for bottled coke in the domestic American consumer market

Previously on "The Rise of The Coca-Cola Company":

In last week's episode of the "Quantium Cast", we introduced two new characters: Benjamin Franklin Thomas and Joseph Brown Whitehead.

These two characters presented a proposition of bottling coke to Asa Candler (the CEO of the coca-cola company at the time). We also included some context surrounding the come-up of Asa Candler. We then arrive at his firm response to the bottling proposition, influenced heavily by his past attachment to the business, seeing as he had been building up the coca-cola brand for over a decade. Candler believed that the cost of the bottling machinery and the general capital expenditure required would simply be too much for the firm to handle. He also believed that investing in such a risky idea for the firm would be unnecessary as they had been delivering growth on profit forecasts, year after year.

Candler ultimately relented and, under the assumption that Thomas and Whitehead would likely bankrupt themselves, Candler issued the two businessmen with "perpetual contracts" of which consisted of them purchasing the syrup from Coke at a large mark-up to use in bottling coke. 

In next week's episode, we will be looking at how the bottlers engaged with the coca-cola company (and any disputes). We will then round the episode off with an introduction to "Candler's great mistake", leading to his sale of the company in 1919. 

Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.

Quantium Cast Episode 60: The Rise of The Coca-Cola Company #2 - Anyone for a Free Glass of Coke?

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company":

Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road.

Part 2 looks at the Joseph Biedenharn's "Great Idea" to bottle Coca Cola in the late 19th century, intended to open up Coke beyond its largest sales channel of "Soda Fountains" (businesses popularised by figures like James Tufts, the Massachusetts Entrepreneur, in 1876).

Ryan also introduces two new characters: Benjamin Franklin Thomas, and Joseph Brown Whitehead. These characters present their proposition of bottling Coca-Cola to Asa Candler, building on Biedenharn's initial idea. Including some context as to how Candler got to where he was in Coca Cola, we arrived at his conclusion, influenced heavily by his past attachment to the business (working there for over a decade). Candler believed that the cost of bottling machinery and the general capital expenditure required to carry out such an operation would simply be "too much" for the firm to handle. Candler also believed that investing in such a risky idea for the firm would be unnecessary as they were continuously beating profit expectations (year on year). His overthinking of the proposition viewed it as "potentially harmful" to the existing sales channel through the "Soda Fountains".  

Quantium Cast Episode 59: The Rise of The Coca-Cola Company #1 - The Origins Of The Super Secret Formula and Soda Fountains

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company":

Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road.

Part 1 looks at the humble beginnings of Coca Cola in the late 19th century where the biggest sales channel for the firm had been through "Soda Fountains" (businesses popularised by figures like James Tufts, the Massachusetts Entrepreneur, in 1876). 

Quantium Cast Episode 58: Drawdowns - A Quantitative Measure of Understanding Downside Risk

Ryan Kia of Quantium Research summarises the concept of drawdowns in investment by referring to what they are and their application to investment strategies with analysis of the "60/40" benchmark portfolio's individual components. He also analyses the impact of dealing with long and sizeable drawdowns with reference to the 1979 study carried out by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky.

Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates and further investment analysis.

Quantium Cast Episode 57: A Summary of Metro Bank Shares ahead of Tomorrow's Q3 Trading Update

Ryan Kia of Quantium Research collates historical data for Metro Bank in episode 57 titled, "A Summary of Metro Bank Shares ahead of Tomorrow's Q3 Trading Update". He also provides two technical based outcomes as a result of the Q3 Trading Update for Metro Bank due to be reported on 23/10/2019. 

 

Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.